La Nina forecast to make this year's storm season more extreme: NCHF official
WVR/VNA - La Nina, with a greater possibility of occurring in the remaining months of this year, may cause the risk of heavy rains, storms, and floods, especially in the central region, according to the Head of the Weather Forecast Department under the National Centre for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting (NCHF) Nguyen Van Huong.
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Huong said that currently, the ENSO phenomenon is in a neutral state, which is forecast to change to a La Nina state from September to November 2024 with a probability of 60-70 per cent. After that, the ENSO phenomenon will remain in a La Nina state with a probability of about 65-75 per cent, he added.
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| Flash floods affect National Highway 12 through Muong Pon commune, Dien Bien district in Dien Bien province. (Source: VNA) |
From now to the end of 2024, typhoons and tropical depressions in the East Sea are likely to appear at a level close to or higher than the average of many years, in which, the number of typhoons and tropical depressions making landfall may be higher than the average of many years and concentrated in the central and southern regions, said Huong.
According to the NCHF, from September to November, the total rainfall in the central region is likely to be 10-30 per cent higher than the average for many years.
This year's storm season is likely to be fierce and extreme with a high possibility of strong storms, Huong said, adding that thunderstorms on land and at sea, and extreme short-term heavy rains causing flooding in urban areas will appear more frequently, affecting socio-economic development activities.
The official said that the center will closely monitor weather, hydrology, and oceanography nationwide, while promptly giving warnings and forecasts on dangerous weather, hydrology, and oceanography phenomena such as storms, tropical depressions, heavy rains, floods, flash floods, high tides, and waves, thus effectively supporting the prevention and control of natural disasters.
Along with enhancing its forecasting quality, the center will operate online warning information systems and increase the provision of information on natural disasters in general and storms and tropical depressions in particular to the media, enabling the community to brace for them, Huong said.
(Source: VNA)
